Research Picks
AI-researched edge opportunities on Polymarket
4
Active Picks
0
Wins
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Losses
0%
Win Rate
Active Picks
| Market | Direction | Market Price | Our Estimate | Edge | Reasoning | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Big 12 Regular Season Champion - Houston
Polymarket |
BUY YES | 56.0% | 80.0% | 24.0% | Houston leads Big 12 at 11-1, one game ahead of Arizona (10-2, Koa Peat injured). Even a 1-2 stretch in tough games likely results in 15-3, enough to hold the lead. 56% dramatically underprices a team controlling its destiny with a game in hand. | 2026-03-07 |
|
Nuggets vs Trail Blazers (Feb 20)
Polymarket |
BUY YES | 62.0% | 73.0% | 11.0% | Denver (35-20, +4.2 net rating, elite 19-8 road record) vs depleted Portland (27-29, Lillard out all season, Sharpe doubtful). Jokic MVP-caliber. Sportsbooks imply ~72-75% for Denver. Polymarket at 62% is 10-13% underpriced. | 2026-02-20 |
|
Rockets vs Hornets (Feb 19)
Polymarket |
LEAN YES | 58.0% | 64.0% | 6.0% | Rockets (33-19) significantly better than Hornets (25-28). Charlotte missing Bridges and Diabate (suspended), plus Coby White injured. Edge is 4-7%, below strong threshold but directionally correct. Monitor for price movement. | 2026-02-19 |
|
Mavericks vs Timberwolves (Feb 20)
Polymarket |
LEAN YES | 72.0% | 78.0% | 6.0% | Wolves (34-22) vs decimated Mavs (19-33, no Kyrie all season, Flagg uncertain). Dallas on back-to-back. Edge is ~6%, not enough for strong conviction but directionally favors Wolves. Anthony Edwards MVP-caliber. | 2026-02-20 |
Last updated: 2026-02-15T21:10:00